Delphi Consensus Report · May 2026

International Consensus
Recommendations for
Acute Low Back Pain

A three-round Delphi process with 30 global pain medicine experts across 14 countries, culminating in 10 evidence-based recommendations validated at the Menorca World Summit.

14 Countries
30 Unique Experts
10 Recommendations
40+ Sub-specialties
4.41
Round 3 Mean Rating (out of 5)
82.5%
Positive Ratings in Round 3
48
Total Survey Responses
10
Consensus Recommendations
Visual Summary

At a Glance: All 10 Recommendations

The complete infographic from the Menorca World Summit of Pain Medicine Society Leaders, endorsed by 20+ international pain societies.

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International Delphi Consensus · Menorca World Summit · May 2026

10 Recommendations for Acute Low Back Pain

Evidence-based, internationally endorsed guidance for managing acute low back pain in adults. Validated by 30 pain medicine experts across 14 countries and 40+ clinical sub-specialties.

30
Global Experts
14
Countries
3
Delphi Rounds
Patient-Centred Care
Self-Management
Escalation Pathway
Safety & Red Flags
Multimodal Care
1

Patient Engagement & Shared Decision-Making

  • Acknowledge and validate the patient's pain
  • Patient education is critical
  • Shared decisions are essential and foundational for all care pathways
2

Self-Care — Start Immediately

  • Stay active, stretch, maintain range of motion
  • Apply heat; optimize anti-inflammatory medications
  • Maintain daily activity — avoid bed rest
  • Optimize nutrition, sleep hygiene, and hydration
★ Unanimous · 5.00/5
3

Consider Additional Modalities If Not Improving

  • Spinal manipulation or acupuncture
  • Optimised NSAIDs and muscle relaxants
  • Prioritise multiple non-drug options
  • Measure improvement by patient outcomes
4.38/5 · 83% Positive
4

Initiate Further Evaluation If Not Improving

  • Clear escalation pathway required
  • Seek care if symptoms worsen or persist
  • Rule out underlying pathology
  • Adjust management based on findings
5

Acute Radiculopathy — Local Steroid Injections

  • LOCAL epidural steroids supported for radiculopathy
  • Insufficient evidence for systemic steroids
  • Temporary relief only — short durations
  • Not indicated for non-radicular ALBP
⚠ Most Debated Area
6

Red Flags — Warrant Immediate Evaluation

  • Red flags: bowel/bladder dysfunction; new or progressive numbness or weakness
  • Clinical history: risk of cancer, infection, or fracture requires prompt assessment
4.60/5 · Strong
7

Imaging — Only With Red Flag or High-Risk History

  • Warranted: red flag present
  • Warranted: history of cancer
  • Warranted: clinical suspicion of infection or fracture
  • Avoid routine imaging — does not improve uncomplicated outcomes
4.60/5 · Strong
8

Opioids — Not First-Line Therapy

  • Avoid as first-line treatment
  • Try non-opioid treatments first
  • Generally ineffective for functional improvement
  • Unnecessary early use should be avoided
4.33/5 · 88% Positive
9

Opioid Safety & Patient Counseling

  • If used: short-acting, time-limited only
  • Strict monitoring and regular reassessment
  • Counsel on safe use, side effects, and risk of dependence
  • Avoid when safer alternatives are effective
10

Multimodal Approach to Management

  • Psychosocial factors influence recovery
  • Escalate only when clinically appropriate
  • Combine physical, psychological, and pharmacological interventions
  • Tailor to the individual patient
Category:
Patient-Centred Care (Rec 1)
Self-Management (Rec 2)
Escalation Pathway (Recs 3–5)
Safety & Red Flags (Recs 6–9)
Multimodal Care (Rec 10)
Participating & Endorsing Organisations
AAPM — American Academy of Pain Medicine The Canadian Pain Society Sine Dolore European Pain Foundation Sine Dolore World Park EMNIPRE Sine Dolore Latvian Association for the Study of Pain UASP — Ukrainian Association for the Study of Pain SPA — Sociedade Portuguesa de Anestesiologia
SEMDOR SEDAR UIB — Universitat de les Illes Balears SOTIMI Sociedad Murciana de Cirugía Ortopédica y Traumatología GOIB — Conselleria Salut Illes Balears Real Academia de Medicina de les Illes Balears SEOT — Sociedad Española de Ozonoterapia
OMC — Organización Médica Colegial de España PainRelief Sociedad Balear del Dolor IPA — Interventional Pain Academy Section of Interventional Algology — Slovak Society Menorca Illes Balears Asociación Colombiana de Medicina Física y Rehabilitación Artikular Clinic

Data Analysis

Final Analysis Report

Delphi Consensus Analysis

International ALBP Recommendations — Quantitative results across all rounds & sections
26Experts
Group
24Individuals
Round 3
4.0Consensus
Threshold
7Survey
Sections
3Rounds
Done
Delphi Consensus Evolution by Survey Section
Mean Rating (1–5) across all rounds
Round 1 (4)
Round 2 (15)
Round 3 Individuals (24)
Group Consensus (26)
Target 4.0
% Positive Ratings (4–5) Across Sections
Percentage of positive ratings per round
Round 1
Round 2
Round 3 Indiv.
Group Consensus
Target 70%
Final Round: Individuals vs Group
Mean Rating (1–5) at final round
Round 3 Individuals (24)
Group Consensus (26)
Convergence Pattern — All Sections Across Rounds
Mean Rating (1–5) showing convergence trajectory
General Key Messages
Assessment & Imaging
Red Flags / Imaging
Self-Management
If Not Improving
Radiculopathy-Specific
Opioids
Target 4.0
Key Takeaway

Strong convergence across all sections with most ratings meeting or exceeding the 4.0 consensus threshold.


5.0
Self-Mgmt
4.8
Gen. Key Msg
4.6
Red Flags
4.6
Opioids
4.3
If Not Improv.
3.2
Assessment
3.0
Radiculopathy
Consensus Achieved
5 of 7 sections ≥ 4.0
Delphi Consensus Analysis. Quantitative results from 48 survey responses across three rounds. Top: consensus score trajectories per topic area. Middle: share of positive ratings (4–5/5) per section (left) and final individual vs. group comparison (right). Bottom: convergence pattern showing every section improved round-over-round, and final group scores. Key takeaways — unanimous self-management consensus (5.00/5), strong anti-opioid agreement (88% positive), and ongoing debate in radiculopathy-specific interventions. Endorsed by 20+ international pain medicine societies.
Delphi Process

Consensus Convergence Across 3 Rounds

Mean expert ratings improved consistently from Round 1 to the final Group Discussion, validating strong international agreement.

Round 1
3.20 / 5
36.2% positive
4 respondents
Round 2
3.92 / 5
65.1% positive
15 respondents
Round 3 (Individual)
4.41 / 5
82.5% positive
24 respondents
Group Consensus
4.28 / 5
65.5% positive
26 contributors
Section Analysis

Expert Agreement by Topic Area

All 7 survey sections showed consistent improvement across rounds. Self-Management achieved perfect Group consensus.

Section R1 Mean R2 Mean R3 Mean Group Mean R3 Positive % Consensus
General Key Messages 3.68 4.14 4.51 4.79 90%
Strong
Assessment & Imaging 3.32 3.50 4.20 3.14 75%
Moderate
Red Flags / Imaging Criteria 3.85 4.13 4.55 4.60 86%
Strong
Self-Management (Rec. 1) 3.19 4.03 4.62 5.00 90%
Unanimous
If Not Improving (Rec. 2a) 2.67 3.79 4.38 4.33 83%
Strong
Radiculopathy-Specific (Rec. 2b) 2.25 3.47 3.80 3.00 50%
Debated
Opioids (Rec. 3) 3.17 4.11 4.56 4.33 88%
Strong
The Recommendations

10 International Consensus Recommendations

Evidence-based, internationally endorsed guidance for managing acute low back pain in adults.

1

Patient Engagement & Shared Decision-Making

Physicians should acknowledge and validate the patient's pain. Patient education is critical. Shared decisions with patients are essential and foundational for all care pathways.

2

Self-Care — Start Immediately

Stay active, stretch, and maintain range of motion. Apply heat, optimize anti-inflammatory medications, maintain daily activity, and avoid bed rest. Optimize nutrition, sleep hygiene, and hydration. Inactivity can slow recovery. Unanimous expert support — Group consensus 5.00/5 (100% positive).

5.00 / 5 · Unanimous
3

Consider Additional Modalities If Not Improving

Spinal manipulation, acupuncture, optimised NSAIDs, and muscle relaxants may be appropriate. Multiple non-drug options should be prioritised; improvement measured by outcomes.

4

Initiate Further Evaluation If Not Improving

Clear escalation pathway. Seek care if symptoms worsen or persist. Rule out underlying pathology and adjust management based on evaluation findings.

5

Acute Radiculopathy — Local Steroid Injections

Evidence supports LOCAL epidural steroid injections for acute radiculopathy. Insufficient evidence for systemic steroids. Steroids only for radiculopathy — temporary relief, short durations.

Most Debated Area
6

Red Flags — Warrant Immediate Evaluation

Red flags (bowel/bladder dysfunction, new or progressive numbness or weakness) warrant immediate evaluation. Clinical history indicating risk of cancer, infection, or fracture also requires prompt assessment. Strong consensus 4.60/5.

4.60 / 5 · Strong
7

Imaging — Only With Red Flag or High-Risk History

Imaging is warranted only with a red flag, history of cancer, or clinical suspicion of infection or fracture. Avoid routine imaging in uncomplicated ALBP — it does not improve outcomes and adds unnecessary anxiety and cost.

4.60 / 5 · Strong
8

Opioids — Not First-Line Therapy

Avoid as first-line treatment. Try non-opioid treatments first. Generally ineffective for function. Unnecessary early use should be avoided. Strong consensus 4.33/5.

4.33 / 5 · 88% Positive
9

Opioid Safety & Patient Counseling

If used: short-acting, time-limited, strict monitoring, regular reassessment. Counsel on safe use, side effects, and risk of dependence from long-term use. Avoid when safer alternatives are effective.

10

Multimodal Approach to Management

Psychosocial factors influence recovery. Escalate only when clinically appropriate. Combine physical, psychological, and pharmacological interventions — tailored to the individual.

Key Findings

What the Evidence Tells Us

Six critical insights from the Delphi process that should shape clinical practice and guideline development.

Self-Management Is Unanimously Endorsed

The only section to achieve a perfect 5.00/5 Group consensus. 100% of experts agreed that self-care as first-line treatment is foundational. Inactivity consistently identified as a recovery barrier.

Strong Anti-Opioid First-Line Consensus

88.4% positive in Round 3 (4.56/5) and 66.7% in Group consensus (4.33/5). A clear safety message emerged across all three rounds: opioids are not appropriate as first-line ALBP therapy.

Radiculopathy Remains the Most Contentious Area

Only 50% positive in Round 3 (3.80/5) and 0% positive in Group consensus (3.00/5). Reflects ongoing legitimate clinical debate about steroid efficacy — the only area without clear consensus.

Broad Geographic & Specialty Representation

30 unique experts across 14 countries and 40+ clinical sub-specialties including anesthesiology, pain medicine, physical medicine, orthopedics, and neuroscience — ensuring global applicability.

Clear Convergence Pattern Across All Rounds

Mean ratings improved from 3.20 → 3.92 → 4.41 across three rounds, demonstrating genuine opinion convergence — not drift. All 7 survey sections showed consistent round-over-round improvement.

Imaging Debate: Individuals vs. Group

Assessment & Imaging was the only section where Round 3 individuals (4.20/5, 75% positive) and Group consensus diverged significantly (3.14/5, 14.3% positive), reflecting real-world clinical complexity.

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The recommendations are ready for publication, dissemination to pain medicine societies globally, and clinical implementation.